![]() ![]() But Murray would have to fall off significantly from her primary margin to lose in the general. The results in the Senate primary came in just as the National Republican Senatorial Committee launched ads earlier this month in Washington, spending in the high six figures on the initial ad buy as it sought to expand the Senate battleground. Biden won nearly 58 percent support in Washington in 2020. In unofficial results from the 2022 Senate primary, where Murray and Republican challenger Tiffany Smiley easily advanced, the vote share among all Democratic candidates was 55.4 percent - down from 2018, but not a margin that would indicate a remarkable year for Republicans. ![]() By contrast, in 2018, a strong year for Democrats, Democratic candidates brought in 58.2 percent of the vote in the Senate primary, ahead of an easy win for Sen. ![]() Patty Murray rallied in the fall to win with 52 percent of the vote over challenger Dino Rossi. In 2010, Democrats won just 48.5 percent of the vote in Washington’s U.S. Fewer voters turn out for the primary compared to the general election, but the aggregate share of votes gathered by each party in August has usually predicted the November outcome in Washington’s House and Senate elections within a few percentage points over the past decade. Under Washington’s primary system, all candidates from both parties run on the same primary ballot, and the two candidates who attract the most votes advance to the general election. But the results do not align with the collapses in Democratic support in 20 that previewed the GOP waves both years. Republicans still have potential pickup opportunities in Washington, including the closely divided 8th Congressional District. “In Washington state, the election results were closer to neutral.” “Nationally, we expected the low approval rating of Joe Biden to create a Republican wave,” said Alex Hays, a Washington-based Republican consultant. as a whole, swings in the states’ margins over the past decade have largely mirrored the rest of the country, according to a POLITICO analysis of the results. Davis, Kennedy Elliott, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski, Allison McCartney and Karen Workman.The party vote shares in Washington primaries have been a reliable indicator of general election outcomes there over the past decade - and while Washington leans more toward Democrats than the U.S. David Goodman, Blake Hounshell, Shawn Hubler, Annie Karni, Maya King, Stephanie Lai, Lisa Lerer, Jonathan Martin, Patricia Mazzei, Alyce McFadden, Jennifer Medina, Azi Paybarah, Mitch Smith, Tracey Tully, Jazmine Ulloa, Neil Vigdor and Jonathan Weisman production by Andy Chen, Amanda Cordero, Alex Garces, Chris Kahley, Laura Kaltman, Andrew Rodriguez and Jessica White editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, William P. Epstein, Nicholas Fandos, Lalena Fisher, Trip Gabriel, Katie Glueck, J. Bender, Sarah Borell, Sarah Cahalan, Emily Cochrane, Nick Corasaniti, Jill Cowan, Catie Edmondson, Reid J. Reporting by Grace Ashford, Maggie Astor, Michael C. Lee, Vivian Li, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Jaymin Patel, Marcus Payadue, Matt Ruby, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Jaime Tanner, James Thomas, Urvashi Uberoy, Ege Uz, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. The Times’s election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Kristen Bayrakdarian, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Véronique Brossier, Irineo Cabreros, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Avery Dews, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Lazaro Gamio, Martín González Gómez, Will Houp, Jon Huang, Samuel Jacoby, Jason Kao, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. The Times estimates the share of votes reported and the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press. ![]()
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